Home Rental and Ownership Still Difficult in 2024 for Average Workers in Most of Nation;
But Renting Less of a Burden in Nearly 90 Percent of Local Markets;
Trend Continues Despite Rents Growing Faster Than Home Prices
IRVINE, Calif., Jan. 18, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — ATTOM, a leading curator of land, property and real estate data, today released its 2024 Rental Affordability Report, which shows that median three-bedroom rents in the U.S. are more affordable than owning a similarly-sized home in nearly 90 percent of local markets around the nation.
The report shows that both renting and owning a three-bedroom home continue to pose significant financial burdens for average workers, consuming more than one-third of their wages in the vast majority of county-level housing markets. But median rental rates still require a smaller portion of average wages than major home-ownership expenses on three-bedroom properties in 296, or 88 percent, of the 338 U.S. counties with enough data to analyze.
That gap extends trends from 2023 even as rents have commonly risen faster than home prices over the past year around the U.S.
The analysis for this report incorporated 2024 rental prices and 2023 home prices, collected from ATTOM’s nationwide property database, as well as publicly recorded sales deed data licensed by ATTOM (see full methodology below). Those two data sources were combined with average wage figures from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (see full methodology below).
“Finding an affordable home remains a daunting prospect around the country for average workers, regardless of whether they want to buy or rent. Continuously increasing home prices contribute to the escalation of rental costs, making both buying and renting properties a challenging endeavor across most of the United States.,” said Rob Barber, CEO at ATTOM. “But the latest data shows that even as rents are growing faster, they remain more affordable than owning.”
The current situation favoring renting over buying reflects a combination of housing market trends that offer limited straightforward options for home seekers but ultimately lean towards the advantage of rentals.
Over the past year, both rental rates and home prices have continued to rise in most of the country. Rental rates have climbed even faster in a majority of counties with enough data to analyze.
That has happened as elevated home prices have become further and further out of reach for average workers, preventing those with marginal finances from obtaining mortgages and leaving them with few options other than renting. Home prices kept going up in 2023 despite rising mortgage rates, in part because of a tight supply of homes for sale.
Still, despite renting and ownership consuming more than a third of average wages in most local markets, rents haven’t escalated enough to keep them from being the more affordable option for average workers. That trend has held throughout the country but remains most pronounced in the most populous urban and suburban markets.
Changes in rents outpacing home price trends in nearly two-thirds of U.S
Median rents for three-bedroom homes have increased more over the past year, or declined less, than median prices for single-family homes in 210, or 62 percent, of the 338 counties analyzed in this report. Counties were included in the report if they had a population of 100,000 or more, at least 100 sales from January through November of 2023 and sufficient data showing changes in three-bedroom rents from 2023 to 2024.
Changes in three-bedroom rents commonly have ranged from 3 percent decreases to 15 percent increases while changes in median sale prices for single-family homes last year typically ranged from 3 percent losses to 7 percent gains.
Most populous counties have widest affordability gaps between renting and owning
Renting a three-bedroom home, while still difficult for average workers, is most affordable in 2024 compared to owning a median-priced single-family home in the nation’s largest counties. In almost three-quarters of markets with populations of at least 1 million, the portion of average local wages consumed by renting is at least 10 percentage points lower than the portion required for typical major home ownership expenses. (Comparisons assume a home-purchase mortgage based on a 20 percent down payment. Major ownership expenses include mortgage payments, property taxes and insurance).
Among 45 counties with a population of at least 1 million included in the report, the biggest gaps are in Honolulu, HI (median three-bedroom rents consume 67 percent of average local wages while typical single-home affordability consume 134 percent); Kings County (Brooklyn), NY (72 percent for renting versus 136 percent for owning); Alameda County (Oakland), CA (51 percent for renting versus 108 percent for owning); Santa Clara County (San Jose), CA (29 percent for renting versus 83 percent for owning) and Orange County, CA (outside Los Angeles) (88 percent for renting versus 136 percent for owning).
The only two counties with a population of more than 1 million where it is more affordable to buy than rent in 2024 are Riverside County, CA (median rents consume 101 percent of average local wages while typical home ownership costs consume 91 percent) and Wayne County (Detroit), MI (22 percent for renting versus 19 percent for owning).
Renting three-bedroom homes stretches budgets but remains most affordable in South and Midwest
The report shows that the median three-bedroom rent requires more than one-third of the average local wage in 274 of the 338 counties analyzed for the report (81 percent).
Among the 64 markets where median three-bedroom rents require less than one-third of average local wages, 59 are in the Midwest and South.
The most affordable for renting are Jefferson County (Birmingham), AL (22 percent of average local wages needed to rent); Wayne County (Detroit), MI (22 percent); Ingham County (Lansing), MI (22 percent); Genesee County (Flint), MI (23 percent) and Caddo Parish (Shreveport), LA (23 percent).
Aside from Wayne County, the most affordable counties for renting among those with a population of at least 1 million are Cuyahoga County (Cleveland), OH (24 percent of average local wages needed to rent); St. Louis County, MO (24 percent); Allegheny County (Pittsburgh), PA (26 percent) and Philadelphia County, PA (28 percent).
The least affordable counties for renting are spread mostly through the South and West, including Collier County (Fort Myers), FL (153 percent of average local wages needed to rent); Santa Barbara County, CA (131 percent); Monterey County, CA (outside San Francisco) (107 percent); Indian River County (Vero Beach), FL (102 percent) and Riverside County CA (101 percent).
Aside from Riverside County, the least affordable for renting among counties with a population of at least 1 million are Orange County, CA (outside Los Angeles) (88 percent of average local wages needed to rent); Los Angeles County, CA (83 percent); Kings County (Brooklyn), NY (72 percent) and Palm Beach County (West Palm Beach), FL (70 percent).
Most-affordable home ownership markets still in South and Midwest; least affordable in West and Northeast
The report shows that major expenses on a median-priced single-family homes require more than one-third of average local wages (assuming a 20 percent down payment) in 296 of the 338 counties analyzed for the report (88 percent).
The most affordable markets for owning are Wayne County (Detroit), MI (19 percent of average local wages needed to own); Montgomery County, AL (21 percent); St. Louis City/County, MO (23 percent); Bibb County (Macon), GA (23 percent) and Caddo Parish (Shreveport), LA (23 percent).
Aside from Wayne County, the most affordable for owning among counties with a population of at least 1 million are Allegheny County (Pittsburgh), PA; (27 percent of average local wages needed to own) Cuyahoga County (Cleveland), OH (27 percent); St. Louis County, MO (30 percent) and Harris County (Houston), TX (35 percent).
The least affordable markets for owning among those analyzed are Marin County, CA (outside San Francisco) (164 percent of average local wages needed to own); Santa Cruz County, CA (160 percent); Orange County, CA (outside Los Angeles) (136 percent); Kings County (Brooklyn), NY (136 percent) and Honolulu County, HI (134 percent).
Aside from Orange, Kings and Honolulu counties, the least affordable counties among those with a population of at least 1 million are Alameda County (Oakland), CA (108 percent of average local wages needed to own) and Queens County, NY (105 percent).
Rents growing faster than wages in majority of markets
Median three-bedroom rents are increasing more than average local wages in 197 of the 338 counties analyzed in the report (58 percent). They include Los Angeles County, CA; Harris County (Houston), TX; Maricopa County (Phoenix), AZ; San Diego County, CA, and Orange County, CA (outside Los Angeles).
Average local wages are growing faster than average rents in 141 of the counties in the report (42 percent), including Cook County (Chicago), IL; Kings County (Brooklyn), NY; Miami-Dade County, FL; Queens County, NY, and San Bernardino County, CA.
Wages growing faster than home prices in nearly 60 percent of nation
Average weekly wages are rising faster than median home prices in 197 of the 338 counties in the report (58 percent), reversing a pattern seen in 2023. They include Los Angeles County, CA; Cook County (Chicago), IL; Harris County (Houston), TX; Maricopa County (Phoenix), AZ, and San Diego County, CA.
Median home prices are rising faster than average weekly wages in 141 of the counties analyzed in the report (42 percent), including Orange County, CA (outside Los Angeles); Kings County (Brooklyn), NY; Miami-Dade County, FL; Broward County (Fort Lauderdale), FL, and Middlesex County, MA (outside Boston).
Methodology
For this report, ATTOM looked at January-November (YTD) 2023 single-family home price data from ATTOM’s publicly recorded sales deed data, as well as 3-bedroom median rental data for 2024, collected and licensed by ATTOM. This data was then analyzed for U.S. counties with a population of 100,000 or more and sufficient home price and rental rate data. The analysis also incorporated second-quarter 2023 average weekly wage data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (most recent available).
Rental affordability represents the median rent for a three-bedroom property as a percentage of the average monthly wage (based on average weekly wages). Home-buying affordability represents the monthly house payment for a single-family median-priced home (including mortgage, based on a 20 percent down payment, plus property tax, homeowner’s insurance and private mortgage insurance) as a percentage of the average monthly wage.
About ATTOM
ATTOM provides premium property data to power products that improve transparency, innovation, efficiency, and disruption in a data-driven economy. ATTOM multi-sources property tax, deed, mortgage, foreclosure, environmental risk, natural hazard, and neighborhood data for more than 155 million U.S. residential and commercial properties covering 99 percent of the nation’s population. A rigorous data management process involving more than 20 steps validates, standardizes, and enhances the real estate data collected by ATTOM, assigning each property record with a persistent, unique ID — the ATTOM ID. The 30TB ATTOM Data Warehouse fuels innovation in many industries including mortgage, real estate, insurance, marketing, government and more through flexible data delivery solutions that include bulk file licenses, property data APIs, real estate market trends, property navigator and more. Also, introducing our newest innovative solution, that offers immediate access and streamlines data management – ATTOM Cloud.
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